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2024-12-13 11:47:46

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.According to the International Monetary Fund, the completion of the second project review will provide Jordan with about $131 million.Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks opened lower and went higher, three-dimensional communication rose daily, Zhejiang-Wenzhou Internet, Zhangyue Technology and Guangbo shares rose sharply.


Ministry of National Defense: Sun Tzu's Art of War belongs to both China and the world. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: It is reported that the 10th International Symposium on the Art of War was held in Beijing, which aroused widespread concern at home and abroad. Please tell us more about the situation. Wu Qian: On December 5-6, the 10th International Symposium on Sun Tzu's Art of War was held in Beijing. More than 350 Chinese and foreign experts and scholars from nearly 30 countries conducted in-depth discussions on the theme of "Sun Tzu's Art of War and Mutual Learning of Civilizations" and achieved positive results. Sun Tzu's Art of War is not only China's, but also the world's. It not only shows the mystery of the Art of War, but also embodies the dialectical thought. The ideas contained in it, such as "stopping fighting for military power", helping each other in the same boat, knowing ourselves and preparing for victory, have already surpassed the scope of the country and become the common wealth of human civilization. Since ancient times, knowing soldiers is not bellicose. Studying Sun Tzu's art of war is not to follow the ancient times, but to learn from the present. Today's world should not be an arena where you lose and I win, but a garden where civilizations learn from each other. We are willing to take Sun Tzu's art of war as a bridge, study and discuss the way of peaceful development that transcends barriers through communication, conflicts through mutual learning and superiority through equality, actively practice the concept of community of human destiny, and contribute to the great integration and development of human civilization.Solar energy and other new companies have set up photovoltaic power generation equipment business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, China Energy Saving Ledebao Solar Technology (Delingha) Co., Ltd. was established, with Du Hu as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of solar thermal utilization equipment; Lease of photovoltaic power generation equipment; Ecological restoration and ecological protection services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly owned by China Energy Saving Solar Technology Co., Ltd. and Qinghai Laidebao New Materials Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of solar energy.Klarna, a Swedish payment company, said that it stopped recruiting hundreds of employees because of AI during the year. Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO of Klarna, a Swedish payment company planning to go public in the US, said that the company stopped recruiting a year ago, mainly because it invested in artificial intelligence (AI), which can replace the work of hundreds of employees in the company. According to Siemiatkowski, the number of employees decreased by 22% to 3,500 within one year, mainly due to brain drain. He pointed out that at present, about 200 employees in the company use artificial intelligence for their core work, and will improve the efficiency of artificial intelligence by accelerating the salary growth of employees.


The retail sector continued its upward trend of Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, and the retail sector continued its upward trend. Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, Maoye Commercial and Actually Zhijia had daily limit, and Guangbai shares, Dashang shares, Central Shopping Mall and Hongqi Chain opened higher collectively.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)

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